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Mortgage Forecast: Tariffs Paused, Fed on Hold, What's Next for Rates in May?

Published on: 2025-07-05 23:07:00

Mortgage rates can change daily and even hourly. Tharon Green/CNET Mortgage rates are being influenced by headlines about ongoing trade negotiations, the path of inflation and shifting expectations for the timing of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. Between Monday and Friday, the average rate for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage jumped from 6.85% to 6.89%, according to Bankrate data. The April Consumer Price Index report shows price growth at 2.3%, the slowest annual pace in years, and down slightly from the previous month. Though the report was mild, economists don't expect price growth to continue in this direction. Forecasts show prices will soon accelerate once we see an impact in import taxes. This comes after the White House announced its 90-day “reset” on steep tariffs with China on Monday, which sparked a surge in stocks and bonds. Mortgage rates, which are pegged to the bond market, specifically the 10-year Treasury yield, saw upward pressure as a result. The tempo ... Read full article.