The "AI 2027" Scenario: How realistic is it?

Everybody’s talking about a scary and vivid manifesto called AI 2027; even Vice President Vance claims to have read it. No expense was spared, They have a website and a domain name and fancy graphs and big name authors. I read a little piece of it in draft; it’s undeniably vivid, with flourishes that remind me of a thriller (“The President is troubled. Like all politicians, he’s used to people sucking up to him only to betray him later. He’s worried now that the AIs could be doing something similar. Are we sure the AIs are entirely on our side??… On the other side of the Pacific, China comes to many of the same conclusions: the intelligence explosion is underway, and small differences in AI capabilities today mean critical gaps in military capability tomorrow.”). It is a fun read, tied to the issues of the day. Aa a work of fiction, it’s very effective. Although it’s written like a thriller, it is crafted to look like science, complete with clickable interactive graphs, and numerous ... Read full article.