Hot take: GPT 4.5 is a nothing burger

Hot take: GPT 4.5 is mostly a nothing burger. GPT 5 is still a fantasy. • Scaling data and compute is not a physical law, and pretty much everything I have told you was true. • All the bullshit about GPT-5 we listened to for the last couple years: not so true. • AI influencers like Tyler Cowen will blame the users, but the results just aren’t what they had hoped for. And by the way, Nvidia dropped 8.48% today, 13% over the last 3 months. § Seems like it was only yesterday that I was predicting that GPT 4.5 would be a nothing burger and that the pure scaling of LLMs (adding more data and compute) was hitting a wall. So now GPT 4.5 has dropped, and — breaking news — I was right. Hallucinations didn’t disappear today, and nor did stupid errors. Grok 3 didn’t fundamentally change things, and GPT 4.5 – which was probably supposed to be GPT 5 – didn’t either. On some measures, it’s barely better than the last version of Claude: And– first time I have ever seen this — one respected A ... Read full article.