Is DOGE doomed to fail? Some experts are ready to call it.

Critics are increasingly branding Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) as a failure, including lawmakers fiercely debating how much funding to allot next year to the controversial agency. On Tuesday, Republicans and Democrats sparred over DOGE's future at a DOGE subcommittee hearing, according to NextGov, a news site for federal IT workers. On one side, Republicans sought to "lock in" and codify the "DOGE process" for supposedly reducing waste and fraud in government, and on the other, Democrats argued that DOGE has "done the opposite" of its intended mission and harmed Americans in the process. DOGE has "led to poor services, a brain drain on our federal government, and it’s going to cost taxpayers money long term," Rep. Suhas Subramanyam (D-Va.) argued. For now, DOGE remains a temporary government agency that could sunset as soon as July 4, 2026. Under Musk's leadership, it was supposed to save the US government a trillion dollars. But so far, DOGE only reports saving about $180 billion—and doubt has been cast on DOGE's math ever since reports revealed that nearly 40 percent of the savings listed on the DOGE site were "bogus," Elaine Kamarck, director of the Center for Effective Public Management at the Brookings Institute, wrote in a report detailing DOGE's exposed failures. The "DOGE process" that Republicans want to codify, Kamarck explained, typically begins with rushed mass layoffs. That's soon followed by offers for buyouts or deferred resignations, before the government eventually realizes it's lost critical expertise and starts scrambling to rehire workers or rescind buyout offers after "it becomes apparent" that a heavily gutted agency "is in danger of malfunctioning." Kamarck warned that DOGE appeared to be using the firings of federal workers to test the "unitary executive" theory, "popular among conservatives," that argues that "the president has more power than Congress." Consider how DOGE works to shut down agencies funded by Congress without seeking lawmakers' approval by simply removing critical workers key to operations, Kamarck suggested, like DOGE did early on at the National Science Foundation.