Deep Learning, Deep Scandal

Deep learning is indeed finally hitting a wall, in the sense of reaching a point of diminishing results. That’s been clear for months. One of the clearest signs of this is the saga of the just-released Llama 4, the latest failed billion (?) dollar attempt by one of the majors to create what we might call GPT-5 level AI. OpenAI failed at this (calling their best result GPT-4.5, and recently announcing a further delay on GPT-5); Grok failed at this (Grok 3 is no GPT 5). Google has failed at reaching “GPT-5” level, Anthropic has, too. Several others have also taken shots on goal; none have succeeded. According to media reports LLama 4 was delayed, in part, because despite the massive capital invested, it failed to meet expectations. But that’s not the scandal. That delay and failure to meet expectations is what I have been predicting for years, since the first day of this Substack, and it is what has happened to everyone else. (Some, like Nadella, have been candid about it). Meta did an ... Read full article.