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Countrywide natural experiment links built environment to physical activity

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Study design

We conducted a countrywide, prospective, longitudinal physical activity study of US residents that evaluated their physical activity levels within the context of the walkability of their built environments before and after relocation (‘participants’). We leveraged the naturally occurring physical activity data that was captured by a health app on participants’ phones to compare each person’s physical activity levels before and after they relocated to a different area within the USA. While similar relocation-based study designs have been used previously to estimate effects of place and built environments26,68,69, the vast majority have been limited by relatively small sample sizes, using only self-report physical activity measurement and the limited diversity with respect to the areas to which they relocated. Objective measures of both urban walkability and physical activity were used and are discussed in more detail throughout the Methods. We analysed anonymized, prospectively collected data from 2,112,288 US smartphone users using the Azumio Argus health app over 3 years (March 2013 to February 2016) to identify 5,424 participants that relocated 7,447 times among 1,609 US cities. These 1,609 cities are home to 137 million Americans, or more than 42% of the US population. We note that relocation is neither purely exogenous nor random, and discuss the important implications of this below. We follow established best practices for analysing large-scale health data from wearables and smartphone apps70.

The Azumio Argus app is a free smartphone application for tracking physical activity and other health behaviours. Participants were excluded from a particular analysis if necessary information was unreported (for example, participants with no reported age were excluded from the analysis of Fig. 2b). Extended Data Table 1 includes basic statistics on study population demographics and weight status (BMI). Anonymized Azumio Argus app data was obtained through a Data Use Agreement. Data handling and analysis was conducted in accordance with the guidelines of the Stanford University Institutional Review Board, which deemed this study exempt.

For population size statistics, refer to Extended Data Tables 1–3.

Statistical methods

All error bars throughout this paper correspond to bootstrapped 95% confidence intervals. When these bootstrapped 95% confidence intervals do not include the null value (typically 0), they indicate a statistically significant difference at the α = 0.05 level. All statistical hypothesis tests were two-sided Student’s t-tests unless indicated otherwise.

Identifying participant relocation

We defined participant relocation as the action of moving to a new place for a substantial amount of time. We identified participant relocation as follows. Participant location on a given day was assigned to a city based on the weather update in the participant’s app activity feed. Weather updates are automatically added to the feed of each participant according to the nearest cell phone tower. We searched for participants that stayed in one location within a 100-km radius for at least 14 days and then moved to a different location that was at least 100 km away. Participants were required to stay within a 100-km radius of this new location for at least another 14 days. The 14-day threshold was chosen to filter out short trips that may be related to business or leisure travel. Using this threshold, we find that most participants do not relocate again and spend a median of 81 days in the new location, effectively excluding the impact of short-term travel on our analyses. Most participants stopped tracking their activity at this time, rather than relocating again. In addition, we repeated our analyses with thresholds of 21 and 30 days and found highly consistent results (Extended Data Fig. 6). We required a substantial move distance (100 km or more) to ensure that relocating participants were exposed to a new built environment. We allowed for up to 5 days of intermediate travel between these two locations and ignored these days during analyses. We applied this method to 2,112,288 users of the Argus smartphone app and identified 31,034 relocations. Among these, we required participants to have used the app to track their physical activity for at least 10 days within the 30 days before and after their relocation (as in previous work3). We further required at least 1 day of tracked physical activity before and after relocation to ensure that, whenever we compare two participant populations, these populations are identical and therefore comparable (that is, we seek to identify within-participant changes in physical activity). We repeated our statistical analyses with alternative data inclusion criteria, such as the number of days with tracked physical activity, and found similar results.

Physical activity measure

Our device-based (historically often called objective) measure of physical activity was the number of steps over time recorded by the participant’s smartphone. Steps were determined based on the smartphone accelerometers and the manufacturer’s proprietary algorithms for step counting. The Azumio Argus app records step measurements on a minute-by-minute basis. These measurements are collected passively without requiring the smartphone or Azumio Argus app to be in active use. Extended Data Table 2 includes basic statistics on physical activity and tracking in the study population.

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