Mortgage Rate Predictions: What's Next for Rates After May Fed Meeting
Published on: 2025-07-21 03:00:00
Mortgage rates can change daily and even hourly. Tharon Green/CNET
The Federal Reserve may be standing its ground on interest rates, but the outlook for mortgage rates is still on shaky footing.
Since early spring, average 30-year fixed rates have been moving between 6.5% and 7%, with no clear direction forward.
Despite concerns over a potential recession and pressure from the White House to reduce interest rates, the central bank voted to leave its benchmark federal funds rate unchanged on May 7 to better evaluate the impact of the administration's trade and austerity measures.
Though the Fed's policy changes have a ripple effect on all short-term lending rates, the central bank doesn't directly set the rates on home loans. Mortgage rates are primarily driven by movement in the bond market, specifically on the 10-year Treasury yield.
Bond yields and mortgage interest rates rise and fall depending on how new economic data and policy changes shift market speculation and risk assess
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