Researchers warn that this year's El Niño event, combined with ongoing global warming, resembles a rare pattern last observed in the late 1990s. They caution that the interaction between these two forces could produce extreme weather events that fall outside the range of existing climate models and historical data.
Peru's government ended its anchovy fishing season early after warming Pacific waters pushed the fish into deeper, colder areas, illustrating the reach of this year's unusually powerful El Niño. Scientists say the event is forecast to become one of the strongest on record, and its effects—drought near the equator, Central America and the western Pacific, alongside heavy rain in the Horn of Africa, the western US and South America's Pacific coast—may differ from past strong El Niños because of added warming from climate change.
A new study finds that as global temperatures rise, thawing permafrost, drying forests, wildfires, and warming wetlands are releasing additional methane and carbon dioxide that current climate models largely fail to account for. Researchers estimate these natural feedback loops could amplify overall global warming by 20% to 30% by the end of the century, adding between 0.2C and 0.4C depending on how aggressively nations cut fossil fuel emissions.
Researchers have identified additional greenhouse gas feedback loops, where rising temperatures themselves trigger further emissions, that are not fully accounted for in current climate models. Their analysis suggests these overlooked mechanisms could accelerate global warming by as much as 30% beyond existing projections.
A new UN Environment Programme report titled 'Limiting Overshoot' concludes that surpassing 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming above pre-industrial levels is now unavoidable. The paper notes current warming is near 1.4 degrees, but even with all existing climate pledges fulfilled, temperatures would still hit at least 1.8 degrees, while current trends point toward 2.6 degrees by 2100.
A new United Nations report concludes that global temperatures will almost certainly exceed the 1.5°C threshold set under the Paris Agreement within just a few years. Climate scientists broadly agree the milestone is now unavoidable, though some worry the report fails to offer clear guidance on next steps.
The UN Environment Program's new Limiting Overshoot report acknowledges that global temperatures will rise past the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C threshold, and instead focuses on how to minimize the severity and duration of that overshoot. The plan calls for nations to simultaneously cut greenhouse gas emissions to net-zero and deploy large-scale carbon dioxide removal, treating the latter as a supplement rather than a substitute for emissions cuts.
A new United Nations Environment Programme report concludes that Earth will soon surpass the 1.5 Celsius warming threshold set by the 2015 Paris agreement, largely due to continued fossil fuel emissions. Rather than treating this as unavoidable defeat, UN officials and scientists propose a strategy to temporarily exceed the limit before working to bring temperatures back down through ending fossil fuel use and deploying carbon removal technology.
A new United Nations Environment Programme report finds that current global emissions trends put the planet on track for roughly 1.8°C of warming above pre-industrial levels this century, effectively ending hopes of holding warming to the 1.5°C target set under the Paris Agreement. UNEP's executive director Inger Andersen acknowledged that countries have delayed climate action, failing to cut emissions at the pace scientists said was necessary.