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A Pascal's Wager for AI Doomers

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Why This Matters

This article emphasizes that current AI technologies are not truly intelligent and warns against overestimating their capabilities. It highlights the importance of addressing existing issues like corporate control, surveillance, and authoritarian misuse, rather than fixating on speculative fears of AI becoming superintelligent. The discussion underscores the need for transparent, public-oriented AI initiatives to ensure technology benefits society responsibly.

Key Takeaways

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A Pascal's Wager for AI Doomers (permalink)

Lest anyone accuse me of bargaining in bad faith here, let me start with this admission: I don't think AI is intelligent; nor do I think that the current (admittedly impressive) statistical techniques will lead to intelligence. I think worrying about what we'll do if AI becomes intelligent is at best a distraction and at worst a cynical marketing ploy:

https://locusmag.com/feature/cory-doctorow-full-employment/

Now, that said: among some of the "AI doomers," I recognize kindred spirits. I, too, worry about technologies controlled by corporations that have grown so powerful that they defy regulation. I worry about how those technologies are used against us, and about how the corporations that make them are fusing with authoritarian states to create a totalitarian nightmare. I worry that technology is used to spy on and immiserate workers.

I just don't think we need AI to do those things. I think we should already be worried about those things.

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