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Micron shares are rising again despite weak overall market. Why memory chip rally seems unstoppable

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Why This Matters

Micron's stock surge highlights a significant shift in the memory chip industry driven by soaring AI demand and ongoing shortages. This trend signals a potential supercycle that could benefit semiconductor companies well into the future, despite broader market uncertainties. For consumers and the tech industry, this underscores the increasing importance of memory chips in AI and advanced computing applications, potentially leading to faster innovation and supply stability.

Key Takeaways

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Micron has become a standout favorite during the ongoing memory chip rally as tech companies scramble to secure supply amid shortages. The stock is up yet again on Monday even as the overall market is sagging on rising energy prices and concerns of renewed fighting between the US and Iran. Shares of Micron were up 5% in premarket trading as S&P 500 futures were set to open lower. There was very little green on the board besides chip stocks and energy stocks because of a rise in oil. Intel is up more than 5% and Qualcomm is up more than 3% in early trading. Micron shares are up 11 of the last 15 sessions. Since the end of March the shares have more than doubled.

Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Micron, YTD

Driving the seeming unstoppable trend is the belief that soaring AI demand coupled with a memory shortage could could lead to "windfall gains" across the sector. "Surging demand for AI accelerators and inference hardware can dramatically boost revenue for semiconductor firms. If adoption outpaces forecasts, chipmakers across memory, logic, and networking could see windfall gains," analyst Jay Goldberg at Seaport Research Partners wrote in a Wednesday note.

Supercycle

Analysts are increasingly talking about a supercycle in the sector that could last beyond the end of next year as chipmakers are considering deals with their customers to build more capacity and boost supply. In the near term, tech companies are dealing with increased input costs from the shortages. During quarterly earnings calls last month, multiple tech executives from the big four hyperscalers noted this pressure point in their supply chains. Accordingly, profit expectations in the chipmaking sector are growing wider, with Micron, SanDisk and Broadcom all projecting gross margins above 75% for 2026, according to FactSet.

Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Roundhill Memory ETF since debut