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Amazon AI exec predicts first 'commercially useful' quantum computers in 5-7 years

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Why This Matters

Amazon's AI executive predicts that commercially useful quantum computers will emerge within the next five to seven years, marking a significant milestone in quantum technology development. This advancement is expected to follow a trajectory similar to Moore's Law, enabling increasingly powerful quantum systems capable of solving complex problems. The forecast highlights the rapid pace of innovation in quantum computing, which could revolutionize industries such as finance, pharmaceuticals, and logistics.

Key Takeaways

The first "commercially useful" quantum computer will be available in the next five-to-seven years, Amazon 's top artificial intelligence executive told CNBC on Wednesday.

Peter DeSantis, who is a few months into his role leading a new Amazon organization focused on AI models, chips and quantum computing, said the technology will then grow in a similar way to the advancement of semiconductor capabilities.

"I actually do believe, over the next five-to-seven years, we're going to start to see the first commercially useful small-scale quantum computers," DeSantis told CNBC.

"From there, we're going to see something that looks a lot like Moore's Law, where they're going to get bigger and bigger every year, and they're going to be able to tackle more and more interesting problems," he added.

Moore's Law is the idea that the number of transistors on a computer chip doubles every two years, leading to more powerful semiconductors over time.

DeSantis' comments are the first timeline forecasts delivered by Amazon regarding useful quantum computing.