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Conflict in the Strait of Hormuz has oil producers looking to spend billions to bypass it

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Why This Matters

The conflict in the Strait of Hormuz is prompting Gulf oil producers to invest heavily in alternative pipeline routes to ensure supply stability amid geopolitical tensions. This shift highlights the industry's efforts to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a geopolitically volatile chokepoint, potentially reshaping global oil transportation strategies. For consumers, these developments could influence oil prices and energy security in the coming years.

Key Takeaways

Producers in the Persian Gulf have plans to pour billions into pipelines that would redirect supplies. Before the war in Iran, roughly 15 million barrels of Persian Gulf oil were shipped each day through the Strait of Hormuz. Within a few years, much of that oil could bypass the strait.As Iran’s chokehold over the strait drags on and oil prices surge, countries across the Gulf are planning to spend billions of dollars to build pipelines enabling them to redirect more supplies to ports along the Red Sea and the Gulf of Oman.At least seven major pipeline projects are under construction, in the planning stage or being discussed as possibilities, according to government officials, oil companies and analysts. The war has been a wake-up call for Gulf oil producers, who are determined to become less dependent on a transit point that hugs Iran’s coast.But alternatives to Hormuz are also vulnerable to disruption. Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi rebels said early Thursday they had attacked two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea, a key alternative route to the strait for Saudi oil exports.Some alternative routes will take the oil on longer and more expensive paths to market. Regardless, producers have realized that relying so heavily on the Strait of Hormuz “is no longer a prudent long-term strategy,” said Victoria Grabenwöger, senior research analyst at data firm Kpler.