Skip to content
Tech News
← Back to articles

The Antarctic ice sheet has gained mass — but probably not for long

read original more articles
Why This Matters

The recent pause in Antarctic ice loss highlights the complex interplay between oceanic and atmospheric factors influencing ice mass balance. While this temporary reversal offers a glimpse into natural variability, experts warn that the ice sheet is likely to resume melting soon, underscoring the ongoing challenges in predicting sea level rise and climate change impacts. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for accurate climate modeling and policy planning.

Key Takeaways

With record-breaking heatwaves, wildfires, a super El Niño and dwindling Arctic sea ice dominating the headlines, it might come as a surprise that loss of mass from the Antarctic ice sheet has essentially been on pause since about 2020. Writing in Nature, Wang et al.1 report that the cause is an atmospheric phenomenon that links warm seas in the Indian and Pacific Oceans with enhanced snowfall in Antarctica, counterbalancing ice mass lost to melting. Importantly, the authors found that the anomalous sea temperatures that are responsible for this trend occur roughly once every decade, so the Antarctic ice sheet looks set to return to losing mass in the next few years.

doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-026-02376-w

References Wang, Y. et al. Nature https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10912-x (2026). Wang, Y., Wu, Q., Zhang, X. & Zhai, Z. Sci. Bull. 68, 3154–3157 (2023). Kolbe, M. et al. Commun. Earth & Environ. 7, 255 (2026). Wille, J. D. et al. Nature Rev. Earth Environ. 6, 178–192 (2025). Wille, J. D. et al. J. Clim. 37, 757–778 (2024). Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Cox, T., Espinosa, Z. I. & Donohoe, A. Geophys. Res. Lett. 50, e2023GL104910 (2023). Walker, C. C. et al. Nature Geosci. 17, 1240–1248 (2024). Maclennan, M. L. et al. Commun. Earth Environ. 6, 369 (2025). King, M. A., Lyu, K. & Zhang, X. Nature Geosci. 16, 1128–1135 (2023). Reese, R. et al. Cryosphere 17, 3761–3783 (2023). Tamarin-Brodsky, T. & Kaspi, Y. Nature Geosci. 10, 908–913 (2017). Download references

Competing Interests The author declares no competing interests.

Related Articles

Subjects