GoKawiilOpinion piece argues AI progress is following an S-curve, not exponential growth
A tech commentator reflects on childhood gaming and personal computer upgrades to argue that technological change, including today's AI boom, tends to follow a sigmoidal curve that levels off rather than an endless exponential rise toward a 'singularity.' The essay uses nostalgic anecdotes about Game Boys, RAM upgrades, and Call of Duty to frame a broader skepticism about hype-driven predictions of runaway AI advancement.
GoKawiil's interpretation of the reporting above, not reported fact.
This pushes back against Silicon Valley narratives that assume AI capability will keep compounding indefinitely, a belief underpinning massive investment and doomsday predictions alike. If technological progress historically plateaus rather than accelerates forever, that has real implications for how investors, policymakers, and the public should calibrate expectations around AI's near-term trajectory.
- The essay contrasts exponential and sigmoidal growth models to question AI singularity predictions.
- Personal anecdotes about 1990s-2000s gaming technology illustrate how past tech leaps eventually plateaued.
- The piece implicitly critiques current hype around unstoppable AI acceleration.
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Published there as: “Technology Is Over”
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