GoKawiilUS-Canada tariff war: customs data show who actually pays the bill
New analysis of trade data breaks down the 2025 tariff exchange between Washington and Ottawa into three measurable pieces: duties U.S. importers have actually paid on Canadian goods, Canada's retaliatory tariffs on American exports, and a modeled estimate of how much of that cost gets passed on to American households through higher prices. The household figure is explicitly flagged as an estimate rather than a hard count, since no government dataset tracks how much of a tariff businesses pass on versus absorb.
GoKawiil's interpretation of the reporting above, not reported fact.
Tariffs are often debated in the abstract, but this breakdown shows the money trail is concrete on the import side and speculative on the consumer side, which matters for anyone trying to judge the real cost of the trade fight. It also highlights that Canada's retaliation list has expanded from steel toward groceries, meaning the pain is starting to spread from specific industries to everyday shoppers on both sides of the border.
- Import duties on Canadian goods are directly measured from customs records, not estimated.
- Household cost impact is a modeled projection covering all 2025 tariffs, not just those on Canada.
- Canada's retaliatory tariff list has grown from mostly steel to include groceries as of September.
Source: thetariffcost.com, 2026-08-26
Published there as: “The Tariff Cost: analysis of the costs to Americans from new tariffs on Canada”
Read the original report → The summary and analysis above are GoKawiil's own, written from reporting by the source above. Facts and quotes belong to the original publisher.