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Bill Gates says tech executives are privately terrified of AI, but won't say it publicly

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Why This Matters

Bill Gates highlights the urgent need for regulatory measures in AI development, emphasizing that the rapid pace of AI advancements poses significant risks to jobs and security. His call for enforceable rules and taxes aims to mitigate potential disruptions and ensure responsible AI deployment, which is crucial for balancing innovation with societal safety. This stance underscores the importance of proactive governance in shaping the future of AI in the tech industry and for consumers.

Key Takeaways

Sounding off: Bill Gates is urging governments to get ahead of artificial intelligence, warning that the technology is moving faster than the rules designed to govern it. He argues that companies are rolling out more powerful systems while the protections needed to address job losses and security threats are still taking shape.

In a lengthy essay published on Wednesday, the Microsoft co-founder called for taxes on some AI use, tighter testing of systems that could aid bioterrorism, and limits on replacing certain workers with software. His position marks a sharper break from the industry's prevailing view that AI's economic benefits will outweigh the disruption.

Gates said the latest AI systems have moved beyond the stage where companies can rely on voluntary commitments and broad principles. He said the risks require enforceable rules, particularly as companies build more data centers and spend heavily to deploy AI across corporate operations.

He proposed a "token tax" that would raise the cost of using AI to replace workers. Tokens are the units of text and data processed by many AI models. Gates said the revenue could help workers who lose jobs as automation spreads.

He also called for "Human Reserved" jobs – work that would be protected from replacement by AI. That could include caregiving and roles held by workers who would have little chance of moving into another field.

Gates's concerns are rooted partly in the speed of improvement in AI coding tools. He said he was particularly surprised by Claude Code, Anthropic's programming product. Coding is the area he knows best, and he said the software's performance forced him to rethink how quickly AI could displace skilled workers.

"The idea that now these things are in a meaningful sense better than I am is like: What the hell?" Gates said.

He said previous waves of technology created new jobs even when they eliminated others. Gates does not think AI will necessarily follow that pattern because it can be applied across many industries at once.

The AI era is "utterly, absolutely, completely, totally different," he said. He called that assessment a major claim, but said his belief was based on what he has seen in the technology.

Gates also focused on biological risks. He said advanced systems could make it easier for a small number of people to develop new pathogens. His essay called for international agreements that set clear standards for monitoring and restricting AI models that can help create dangerous molecules.

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