WMO Declares Near-Certain Record-Strength El Niño Through February 2027
The World Meteorological Organization has issued its most confident El Niño forecast ever, putting the odds at nearly 100% that the current event will persist through February 2027. Officials say this El Niño, driven by unusually warm eastern Pacific waters, is on track to become the strongest ever recorded, with UN Secretary-General António Guterres warning it is being 'supersized.' The phenomenon is already disrupting weather patterns globally and is expected to intensify further in coming months.
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El Niño typically adds 0.1 to 0.2 degrees Celsius to global average temperatures, but this unusually powerful version could push 2026 into record-hot territory, with the delayed climate response making 2027 potentially even warmer. The unprecedented certainty in the WMO's forecast signals growing confidence in climate models even as the underlying warming trend accelerates extreme weather risks worldwide.
- WMO predicts near-100% chance El Niño persists through February 2027, its most confident forecast ever issued.
- This event is shaping up to be the strongest El Niño on record, intensifying global weather disruptions.
- Scientists expect 2026 to be extremely hot and 2027 potentially hotter due to delayed heat release into the climate system.
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See AcuRite Iris Wireless Weather Station on Amazon → Affiliate link — we may earn a commission on purchases, at no extra cost to you. Product picked by AI based on this article; it is not a tested recommendation.Source: wired.com — Molly Taft, 2026-09-03
Published there as: “The 2026 El Niño Is Being ‘Supersized’ as Impacts Worsen”
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