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If a Tesla Cybercab fleet were profitable, Tesla wouldn't sell you one

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Why This Matters

Tesla is again pitching third parties on buying and operating Cybercab robotaxi fleets, echoing Elon Musk's 2019 promise that owners could earn passive income via the Tesla Network. That promise never materialized for FSD buyers, and the article argues that if fleet economics were truly lucrative, Tesla would keep the vehicles for itself rather than sell them. For businesses and consumers, it's a warning about underwriting a company's capex on the strength of unfulfilled autonomy claims.

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Tesla is now asking businesses whether they’d like to buy and operate their own fleets of Cybercab robotaxis on its network. It’s the same pitch Elon Musk has been making since 2019: buy the cars, put them to work, and earn money while you sleep.

There’s one problem with it. And it never happened, and you shouldn’t fall for it now. If running a fleet of Cybercabs were actually profitable, Tesla wouldn’t sell you a single one.

The pitch Tesla keeps making

At its Cybercab event on September 3, Tesla started circulating an interest form to fleet buyers asking who wants in on “Cybercab fleet vehicle purchasing.” The idea is that a company buys the cars, runs them on Tesla’s Robotaxi network, and splits the revenue.

We’ve heard this before. At Autonomy Day in 2019, Musk told the world that owners could add their cars to the “Tesla Network” and pull in as much as $30,000 a year in gross profit per vehicle. Same year, he called Teslas “appreciating assets” that would gain value as Full Self-Driving improved.

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None of it happened. Owners paid up to $15,000 for FSD on the promise of taxi income, and years later, not one of them can run their car as a robotaxi. Tesla runs the service itself. The people who funded the dream are still waiting.

Ask MisterGreen how that worked out

Some people actually built a business on Musk’s promise. MisterGreen, a Dutch leasing firm, went all-in on Tesla, buying more than 4,000 of them on the belief that the cars would hold their value and eventually earn robotaxi income.

Instead, Tesla spent two years slashing new-car prices, and used Teslas started depreciating at roughly three times the rate of the broader used-car market. The robotaxi income never came. MisterGreen went bankrupt in December 2025 and wiped out its bondholders. $40 million was lost.

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