Anthropic Safety Researcher Estimates Over 10% Chance AI Could Cause Human Extinction
Evan Hubinger, a safety researcher at Anthropic, said publicly that he believes there is more than a 10% chance advanced AI could kill all humans within the next decade, though he described the danger from today's models as low. His remarks came in response to a departing Anthropic researcher, Jacob Coxon, who criticized both Anthropic and OpenAI for irresponsibly racing toward systems that could hack any network and seize real-world power.
GoKawiil's interpretation of the reporting above, not reported fact.
The warning is notable because it comes from inside a leading AI safety lab rather than an outside critic, lending it added weight in ongoing debates about existential AI risk. It also reflects a broader shift among researchers from questioning whether AI poses serious danger to disputing how severe and imminent that danger actually is.
- An Anthropic safety researcher estimates over 10% odds of AI causing human extinction within a decade.
- The warning follows criticism from a former Anthropic and OpenAI researcher over irresponsible AI development.
- No concrete mechanism for how AI could cause extinction was provided, only general concern about future superhuman capabilities.
Superintelligence" by Nick Bostrom — If Anthropic's own safety researchers are putting double-digit odds on catastrophic AI outcomes, Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence is the book that framed this whole debate. It walks through how advanced AI systems could gain power and why alignment is so hard, giving you the vocabulary behind headlines like this one.
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Published there as: “Anthropic Researcher Believes More Than 10% Chance AI 'Could Kill All Humans'”
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