NOAA raises odds El Niño 2023 could be strongest on record
Daily sea surface temperatures in the Tropical Pacific are running about six degrees Fahrenheit above normal, the highest level on record for this metric. The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has raised its estimate that this year's El Niño will surpass the intensity of any event since 1950, from 75 percent to 83 percent, and some scientists believe it could grow stronger still. UNICEF has separately warned that hundreds of millions of children could be affected by the pattern's knock-on effects.
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Climate scientist Daniel Swain says the scale of this event is unprecedented against the backdrop of a warming climate, suggesting its effects on weather and agriculture could be more severe than past El Niños. Because the pattern disrupts rainfall globally, worsening droughts in some regions and flooding in others, the strength of this cycle could compound existing pressures on food security and vulnerable populations, according to UNICEF's analysis.
- Tropical Pacific sea temperatures are about 6°F above normal, a record level.
- NOAA raised the odds of a historically strong El Niño from 75% to 83%.
- UNICEF warns hundreds of millions of children could be affected by resulting climate disruptions.
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Published there as: “Amid Terrifying Readings, Experts Fear El Niño Is About to Wreak Havoc”
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