GoKawiilKansas researchers project 1.5°C warming threshold could be crossed by 2028
A new paper in Climate and Atmospheric Science by two University of Kansas researchers finds the rate of global warming roughly doubled between 2011-2025 compared with 1971-2025. Extrapolating that accelerated trend, the authors project the planet could cross the Paris Agreement's 1.5 degrees Celsius threshold by 2028, nearly a decade earlier than prior estimates.
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The researchers argue this compressed timeline intensifies pressure for immediate, steep cuts to greenhouse gas emissions, since political, economic and technological systems typically change slowly. If the accelerated warming rate holds, it suggests international climate targets set under the Paris Agreement may need to be revisited sooner than governments have planned.
- Warming rate roughly doubled from 2011-2025 versus the longer 1971-2025 average, per the study
- Researchers project the 1.5°C threshold could be crossed by 2028, about a decade sooner than earlier forecasts
- Authors warn existing political and economic inertia makes rapid emissions cuts difficult to achieve in time
Source: futurism.com — Victor Tangermann, 2026-10-17
Published there as: “You Know That Terrifying Global Warning Threshold They’ve Been Worried About for a Decade? Climate Change Is Speeding Up So Much That Now We’re Due to Cross It In Just Over a Year”
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