Conspiracy theorists don’t realize they’re on the fringe
It's not that believers in conspiracy theories are massively overconfident; there is no data on that, because the studies didn't set out to quantify the degree of overconfidence, per Pennycook. Rather, "They're overconfident, and they massively overestimate how much people agree with them," he said. Ars spoke with Pennycook to learn more. Ars Technica: Why did you decide to investigate overconfidence as a contributing factor to believing conspiracies? Gordon Pennycook: There's a popular sense