Programming Deflation
The genies are out of the bottle. Let’s take as a given that augmented coding is steadily reducing the cost, skill barriers, and time needed to develop software. (Interesting debate to be had—another day.) Will this lead to fewer programmers or more programmers? Economics gives us two contradictory answers simultaneously. Substitution . The substitution effect says we'll need fewer programmers—machines are replacing human labor. Jevons’. Jevons’ paradox predicts that when something becomes c