GoKawiilMusk sets Tesla goal of 5 million vehicle deliveries per year by 2030
On Tesla's Wednesday earnings call, Elon Musk said the company is 'aiming for' 5 million vehicle deliveries annually by around 2030, calling it achievable. Tesla's deliveries have actually declined recently, from a 2023 peak of 1.81 million to 1.64 million in 2025.
GoKawiil's interpretation of the reporting above, not reported fact.
The new figure is a sharp reduction from Musk's 2020 forecast of 20 million annual sales by 2030, suggesting a quiet scaling-back of his longstanding ambitions even as deliveries trend downward. Hitting even 5 million would likely require new vehicle lineups and expanded manufacturing capacity Tesla does not currently have, according to the article's analysis, making the target a useful benchmark for judging Musk's credibility on long-range promises.
- Musk projected 5 million annual Tesla deliveries by roughly 2030.
- This is a major cut from his 2020 claim of 20 million cars a year by 2030.
- Tesla deliveries have fallen two years running, from 1.81 million in 2023 to 1.64 million in 2025.
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Published there as: “Elon Musk says Tesla will sell 5 million cars by 2030 — math says otherwise”
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