GoKawiilGlobal Carbon Project: fossil fuel emissions fell 0.4% in 2026, tied to Iran conflict oil shock
A Global Carbon Project analysis led by Corinne Le Quéré estimates that global fossil fuel emissions dropped about 0.4 percent this year, reversing a 1.2 percent rise in 2025. The team attributes the shift mainly to a 1.9 percent decline in oil-related emissions linked to the war in Iran and its impact on oil prices, alongside a smaller 0.3 percent drop in natural gas emissions, even as coal emissions rose 0.6 percent.