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Global Financial Stability

2 GoKawiil briefs on this topic

IMF warns AI sector collapse could threaten global financial stability

The International Monetary Fund's latest Global Financial Stability Report warns that the global economy's growing dependence on AI-related capital flows could harm GDP, investment, and consumption by 2028 if the sector crashes. The report distinguishes between 'core' AI firms like Nvidia and TSMC, which have years of production already booked, and weaker non-core players whose circular financing arrangements pose broader risk. The IMF found $300 billion invested in financially weaker AI companies plus $650 billion in debt tied to $1.4 trillion in revenue, concentrated among a small number of firms.

IMF flags risk of disorderly spike in government bond yields

The IMF's Global Financial Stability Report, released Tuesday in Bangkok, warned that sovereign bond yields could rise sharply and disorderly as inflation, high debt loads and rollover risks strain government bond markets. It noted global public debt is nearing its highest level since World War II and approaching 100% of GDP, while AI firms' borrowing now makes up about 10% of global investment-grade bond issuance, up from under 1% since 2024.