AI researcher Andrej Karpathy says awareness of LLM capability is splitting into four tiers
Andrej Karpathy argues that public understanding of large language models' capabilities is diverging sharply rather than converging. He outlines a rough tier system: roughly 75% of people have barely used LLMs, 20% use free chatbots casually, about 0.2% of professionals in coding and math see agents completing weeks of work in a prompt, and an estimated 5,000 people with internal access to frontier systems are reportedly seeing swarms of agents handle multi-week software projects, cyberattacks and research-level math.