Tropical Pacific - GoKawiil

NOAA Forecasts Record-Strength Super El Niño Through Early 2026

NOAA is forecasting a 100% chance of an extremely strong El Niño persisting through December, with over 80% odds it continues through February. The event has already set multiple daily heat records in the tropical Pacific, including a peak of 3.4 degrees Celsius above normal, and NOAA's three-month forecast projects heat could reach 2.7 degrees Celsius, potentially surpassing the previous record of 2.4 degrees Celsius set in 1982-1983.

wired.com · 2026-10-11

Record-strength El Niño disrupts Peru's anchovy fishery, threatens global weather patterns

Peru's government ended its anchovy fishing season early after warming Pacific waters pushed the fish into deeper, colder areas, illustrating the reach of this year's unusually powerful El Niño. Scientists say the event is forecast to become one of the strongest on record, and its effects—drought near the equator, Central America and the western Pacific, alongside heavy rain in the Horn of Africa, the western US and South America's Pacific coast—may differ from past strong El Niños because of added warming from climate change.

nature.com · 2026-09-13