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NASA Makes Big Update to Asteroid Potentially on Collision Course With Earth in 2032

The potentially hazardous asteroid 2024 YR4 caused consternation over the last few weeks as its odds of hitting Earth in 2032 dramatically rose. Now, those odds have plummeted to near-zero, as astronomers’ calculations of the asteroid’s path have been updated to indicate that Earth is almost certainly not in the space rock’s plans. Almost. According to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS), the asteroid’s current chance of hitting the planet in 2032 is 0.28%, or a 1-in-360 shot. T

Lox – Oxidized Astrodynamics – A safe, ergonomic astrodynamics library

Lox – Oxidized Astrodynamics A safe, ergonomic astrodynamics library for the modern space industry Note: Lox is under active development and does not yet have a stable release. The API of all crates is subject to significant change. Features Lox exposes a comprehensive astrodynamics API at varying levels of granularity. The high-level interface offered by lox-space is designed specifically for mission planning and analysis, while crates like lox-time , lox-earth and lox-orbits provide tools

Topics: data earth lox space time

The Odds of a City-Killing Asteroid Hitting Earth Keep Rising

An asteroid discovered late last year is continuing to stir public interest as its odds of striking planet Earth less than eight years from now continue to increase. Two weeks ago, when Ars first wrote about the asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies estimated a 1.9 percent chance of an impact with Earth in 2032. NASA’s most recent estimate has the likelihood of a strike increasing to 3.2 percent. Now that’s not particularly high, but it’s also not zero. Ars

Killer Asteroid Could Be Headed for Some of the World's Most Populous Cities

According to NASA's Jet Propulsion Lab, near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 now has a 3.1 percent chance of colliding with our planet on December 22, 2032. That makes it the highest-threat asteroid ever detected, as Euronews reports. As of late January, the probability was sitting at just 1.3 percent, which then rose to 2.1 percent last week before rising yet again. Worse yet, the space agency suggests the asteroid could hit densely populated areas of our planet — if it were to make an impact just un