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Scribble-based forecasting and AI 2027

news.ycombinator.com Unknown 2025-08-19 16:15:29

AI 2027 forecasts that AGI could plausibly arrive as early as 2027. I recently spent some time looking at both the timelines forecast and some critiques [1, 2, 3]. Initially, I was interested in technical issues. What’s the best super-exponential curve? How much probability should it have? But I found myself drawn to a more basic question. Namely, how much value is the math really contributing? This provides an excuse for a general rant. Say you want to forecast something. It could be when you

Topics: ai forecast like math model
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Time Series Forecasting with Graph Transformers

news.ycombinator.com Jan Eric Lenssen 2025-09-09 07:05:53

Time series forecasting is a cornerstone in modern business analytics, whether it is concerned with anticipating market trends, user behavior, optimizing resource allocation, or planning for future growth. As such, a wide range of different approaches have been introduced and investigated for forecasting, lately data-driven approaches using machine learning and generative models. This blog post will dive into forecasting on graph structured entities, e.g., as obtained from a relational database

Topics: forecasting graph model series time
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Zero-Shot Forecasting: Our Search for a Time-Series Foundation Model

news.ycombinator.com Unknown 2025-09-14 08:04:56

Introduction In the last few years, the field of time-series forecasting has seen a fundamental shift. Where we once depended solely on classic statistical methods, think ARIMA, SARIMA, and Prophet, new “foundation” models have emerged, promising to bring the power and flexibility of large language models (LLMs) into the world of time-series data. The allure is obvious: can we build a single, reusable forecasting model that works across a variety of datasets and domains, instead of painstakingl

Topics: data forecasting foundation models time
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The Forecasting Company (YC S24) Is Hiring

news.ycombinator.com Unknown 2025-06-02 02:00:22

Your role We are building the forecasting foundation model to rule them all. All enterprise companies run forecasting to plan their operations: staffing, supply-chain management, finances… We provide the data, models and platform to easily build the most accurate forecasts. This significantly reduces waste and increases cash flow for our customers. The forecasting model is at the heart of our technology. As the founding MLE, you will build, train and deploy large foundation model architectures

Topics: data forecasting ml models use
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