Published on: 2025-06-18 17:03:00
The remarkable story of Bill Benter and how he amassed a staggering $1B fortune betting on horses in Hong Kong has been extensively documented in the article, The Gambler Who Cracked the Horse-Racing Code. In 1994, Benter published an academic paper titled Computer Based Horse Race Handicapping and Wagering Systems: A Report. In it, he documents the implementation of a successful horse race betting model, which by virtue of it being published, likely meant that the model was outdated and superce
Keywords: estimate model probability public races
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-06-20 04:03:00
The remarkable story of Bill Benter and how he amassed a staggering $1B fortune betting on horses in Hong Kong has been extensively documented in the article, The Gambler Who Cracked the Horse-Racing Code. In 1994, Benter published an academic paper titled Computer Based Horse Race Handicapping and Wagering Systems: A Report. In it, he documents the implementation of a successful horse race betting model, which by virtue of it being published, likely meant that the model was outdated and superce
Keywords: estimate model probability public races
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-06-20 14:03:00
The remarkable story of Bill Benter and how he amassed a staggering $1B fortune betting on horses in Hong Kong has been extensively documented in the article, The Gambler Who Cracked the Horse-Racing Code. In 1994, Benter published an academic paper titled Computer Based Horse Race Handicapping and Wagering Systems: A Report. In it, he documents the implementation of a successful horse race betting model, which by virtue of it being published, likely meant that the model was outdated and superce
Keywords: estimate model probability public races
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-06-30 08:06:46
Much like Microsoft’s Build keynote, Google’s kickoff of its annual developer event was a sort of AI-palooza. Unless you’re done with AI, in which case it was probably a snoozefest, and I suggest you skip over to the next post. I’m not sure it’s a good long-term plan, though. From flashy moonshots to real, actionable, useful features that customers will be able to take advantage of almost immediately, there was a little bit of everything. Including things that Apple users will also greatly bene
Keywords: ai gemini google long probably
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-07-19 16:55:15
The European Space Agency’s Proba-3 mission has achieved something no other mission—or synchronized swimmer—has before: autonomous, precision formation flying in space with millimeter accuracy. ESA’s Proba-3 satellites—the Occulter and the Coronagraph, respectively—maintained a steady 492-foot (150-meter) distance from one another in a highly elliptical orbit, simulating a single massive instrument. The same principle is used by satellite constellations and planned space telescopes to capitaliz
Keywords: esa occulter proba space spacecraft
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-07-25 20:11:33
Sherman Kent was rattled. It was March 1951 and Kent, a CIA analyst, had found himself in a troubling conversation about some recent intelligence. A few days earlier, Kent's team had released a report titled ‘Probability of an Invasion of Yugoslavia in 1951’, which concluded that Soviet aggression against Yugoslavia ‘should be considered a serious possibility’. Kent thought the phrase was clear. But when he ran into the chairman of the Policy Planning Staff, he realised his message hadn’t lande
Keywords: estimate intelligence kent like probability
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-07-27 05:26:28
Dummy's Guide to Modern LLM Sampling Intro Knowledge Large Language Models (LLMs) work by taking a piece of text (e.g. user prompt) and calculating the next word. In more technical terms, tokens. LLMs have a vocabulary, or a dictionary, of valid tokens, and will reference those in training and inference (the process of generating text). More on that below. You need to understand why we use tokens (sub-words) instead of words or letters first. But first, a short glossary of some technical terms
Keywords: logits probability threshold token tokens
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-08-07 17:43:50
The picture of electrons "orbiting" the nucleus like planets around the sun remains an enduring one, not only in popular images of the atom but also in the minds of many of us who know better. The proposal, first made in 1913, that the centrifugal force of the revolving electron just exactly balances the attractive force of the nucleus (in analogy with the centrifugal force of the moon in its orbit exactly counteracting the pull of the Earth's gravity) is a nice picture, but is simply untenable.
Keywords: atom electron energy nucleus probability
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-08-25 18:01:46
This article was ported from my old Wordpress blog here, If you see any issues with the rendering or layout, please send me an email I have a little secret: I don’t like the terminology, notation, and style of writing in statistics. I find it unnecessarily complicated. This shows up when trying to read about Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Take, for example, the abstract to the Markov Chain Monte Carlo article in the Encyclopedia of Biostatistics. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a techniq
Keywords: distribution markov probability random walk
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-08-29 22:48:48
April 12, 2025 at 06:54 Tags Math , Machine Learning Cross-entropy is widely used in modern ML to compute the loss for classification tasks. This post is a brief overview of the math behind it and a related concept called Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. Information content of a single random event We'll start with a single event (E) that has probability p. The information content (or "degree of surprise") of this event occurring is defined as: \[I(E) = \log_2 \left (\frac{1}{p} \right )\] Th
Keywords: cross entropy kl log_2 probability
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-09-01 11:11:53
This site probably uses cookies and might store some information about you using them. I don’t really know and don’t really care, but if you are accessing it from Europe then you have now made me a law breaker as it’s (and therefore I’m) likely not complying with EU law, specifically the GDPR (General Data Protection Regulation) and the ePrivacy Directive and its 99 legal directives. So does this mean I am the EU’s most wanted criminal? I’m guessing not, but technically it does mean I could be
Keywords: don gdpr probably really understand
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-10-25 00:38:50
Everything that gets done is either done by a system or by a person. Systems are operated by drones. Cowboys get shit done in spite of systems. Systems involve people, but no single person has a view over the entire goal. If you want to get a new passport, it’s almost certain that a system does this for you. Each person does some tiny part, the entire process is probably much longer and more frustrating than it needs to be, but it probably eventually works. Systems optimize for consistency and
Keywords: cowboy fix person probably systems
Find related items on AmazonPublished on: 2025-10-31 21:38:56
In Brief Former top U.S. cybersecurity official Rob Joyce told lawmakers on Wednesday that cuts to federal probationary employees will have a “devastating impact” on U.S. national security. Joyce, who was the director of cybersecurity for the National Security Agency until retiring in 2024, was providing testimony to the U.S. House Committee on the Chinese Communist Party, which is investigating a broad hacking campaign by China targeting the U.S. government in recent years. “I want to raise
Keywords: employees federal joyce probationary security
Find related items on AmazonGo K’awiil is a project by nerdhub.co that curates technology news from a variety of trusted sources. We built this site because, although news aggregation is incredibly useful, many platforms are cluttered with intrusive ads and heavy JavaScript that can make mobile browsing a hassle. By hand-selecting our favorite tech news outlets, we’ve created a cleaner, more mobile-friendly experience.
Your privacy is important to us. Go K’awiil does not use analytics tools such as Facebook Pixel or Google Analytics. The only tracking occurs through affiliate links to amazon.com, which are tagged with our Amazon affiliate code, helping us earn a small commission.
We are not currently offering ad space. However, if you’re interested in advertising with us, please get in touch at [email protected] and we’ll be happy to review your submission.