UN-backed report says overshooting 1.5C could permanently damage ice sheets and glaciers
A new UN-backed scientific report warns that even a temporary breach of the 1.5C Paris warming threshold could cause irreversible loss of glaciers, snow and polar ice sheets. It finds Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are already melting roughly six times faster than in the 1990s, and that returning warming to 1.5C after an overshoot would not stop continued ice loss. The report's authors argue long-term global temperatures need to fall closer to 1C, or lower, to protect the cryosphere.
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The findings suggest that climate targets framed around temporarily exceeding 1.5C may understate the damage already being locked in, since ice systems can take centuries or millennia to recover once tipping points are crossed. This could pressure negotiators at Cop31 in Turkey to treat 1.5C not as a flexible ceiling but as a threshold whose breach carries lasting consequences for sea levels and permafrost emissions worldwide.
- Report says glaciers would retain only ~70% of current volume if long-term warming settles at 0.8C
- Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets are melting about six times faster than in the 1990s
- Authors argue a safe long-term limit for polar ice sheets is closer to 1.0C, not 1.5C
Source: news.slashdot.org, 2026-11-07
Published there as: “Cryosphere Faces Permanent Damage When World Overshoots 1.5C, Scientists Warn”
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