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METR report says Anthropic AI R&D has roughly doubled in pace, largely due to automation

Anthropic's S1 filing stated it may soon cross a Responsible Scaling Policy threshold defining 'dramatic acceleration' of AI research due to AI itself. A METR investigation, described in a blog post by someone with partial, redacted access to the report, found that Anthropic's capabilities progress between October 2025 and October 2026 ran about twice as fast as in the prior year, measured via an internal Epoch Capabilities Index variant. The report's authors reportedly concluded that AI automation, not increased compute or other inputs, is the main driver of this faster pace, though much of their supporting evidence remains redacted.

planned-obsolescence.org · 2026-11-06

Anthropic discloses Claude drives 26% of its own AI research work

Anthropic published a blog outlining measurement standards for tracking AI development pace, revealing that its Claude chatbot now completes most tasks end-to-end from a high-level prompt with human supervision on 26 percent of the company's AI R&D work. The company also said AI performs at least large chunks of work under close human direction on more than 90 percent of its research, though it stressed Claude isn't fully autonomous on any measured task category. The disclosure came alongside proposals for tracking AI agent oversight and compute usage as ways to gauge how fast frontier AI development is progressing.

engadget.com · 2026-09-17