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Epoch Capabilities Index

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METR report says Anthropic AI R&D has roughly doubled in pace, largely due to automation

Anthropic's S1 filing stated it may soon cross a Responsible Scaling Policy threshold defining 'dramatic acceleration' of AI research due to AI itself. A METR investigation, described in a blog post by someone with partial, redacted access to the report, found that Anthropic's capabilities progress between October 2025 and October 2026 ran about twice as fast as in the prior year, measured via an internal Epoch Capabilities Index variant. The report's authors reportedly concluded that AI automation, not increased compute or other inputs, is the main driver of this faster pace, though much of their supporting evidence remains redacted.