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Polymarket

45 GoKawiil briefs on this topic

Polymarket and Kalshi Expand Into Media as Prediction-Market Regulation Fight Looms

Polymarket runs a daily newsletter summarizing news events tied to its betting markets, resembling a political news roundup rather than a financial disclosure. Both Polymarket and rival Kalshi have struck data-sharing partnerships with major media companies—Polymarket with Dow Jones and Substack, Kalshi with CNN, CNBC, and Fox—embedding themselves into roughly a quarter of top S&P 500 communications firms, though none of these deals involve actual trading.

CFTC opened three secret probes into Polymarket trading, FOIA records show

Documents obtained by WIRED via a Freedom of Information Act request reveal that CFTC chairman Michael Selig authorized at least three previously unreported investigations into trading on Polymarket. One order, signed in early May, targeted possible insider trading tied to Biden-era pardon markets, following an NPR report on a trader who made over $300,000 betting correctly on pardons for figures like Liz Cheney and Adam Schiff. A second order in late May authorized scrutiny of Iran-related event contracts, coming shortly after a 60 Minutes segment exposed accounts that earned $2.4 million with a suspicious 98 percent win rate.

LeBron James Signs First Individual NBA Athlete Deal With Polymarket

LeBron James has become Polymarket's first individually signed NBA athlete partner, according to The Athletic. The announcement sparked backlash on social media, with fans accusing him of 'selling out' to a betting-adjacent platform despite his wealth.

Kalshi and Polymarket increasingly influence 2026 midterm campaign narratives

Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are becoming central to how political campaigns and media frame the midterm elections, with real-money bets on outcomes shaping coverage and strategy. Alongside their growing influence, lobbying spending tied to these platforms has surged, and questions about insider trading on political events are intensifying.

Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket hit by ban and insider-trading probe

WIRED's Uncanny Valley podcast covers two prediction-market controversies: Kalshi issued a lifetime ban to former Congressman George Santos, and a Google engineer faces an insider-trading case tied to Polymarket. The episode also examines a reverse-engineered Flock AI person-search tool and debate over labeling AI agents as 'rogue.'

Google Engineer Seeks Dismissal of Polymarket Insider Trading Charges

Michele Spagnuolo, the Google engineer charged with commodities fraud, wire fraud and money laundering over Polymarket bets made using the alias 'AlphaRaccoon,' has filed a motion to dismiss. His lawyers argue the wagers, which reportedly netted him over $1.2 million including a correct bet on singer D4vd, are informal gambling rather than regulated financial swaps, and that U.S. authorities lack jurisdiction since he is a non-U.S. citizen.

Polymarket secures $300M from Trump Jr.-linked 1789 Capital in $1B round

Polymarket has reportedly raised $300 million from 1789 Capital, an investment fund with Donald Trump Jr. as a partner, as part of a roughly $1 billion funding round according to the Wall Street Journal. This adds to a prior $200 million investment from the same fund, which has also backed other controversial ventures like the Enhanced Games.

Google engineer's lawyers argue Polymarket bets aren't regulated swaps

Michele Spagnuolo, the Google engineer charged with insider trading over Polymarket wagers, has filed a motion to dismiss the case. His attorneys don't dispute he profited using internal Google information, but argue his bets—including one on singer D4vd becoming Google's most-searched person of 2025—were unregulated gambling, not financial instruments covered by the Commodities Exchange Act.

Kalshi and Polymarket users now bet on which companies will announce layoffs

Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket have expanded beyond sports and elections to let users wager on whether major companies will cut jobs in upcoming quarters. Experts say the growing volume of these markets is worth watching as a potential signal of workforce sentiment.